Hantometer / 2026 Live 10 May 2026

Side-by-side comparison

Hantavirus vaccineLassa vaccine
DiseaseHantavirus diseaseLassa fever
FamilyHantaviridaeArenaviridae
Annual deaths~1 000–5 000~5 000
Licensed vaccines (2026)Hantavax (Korea), inactivated (China)None
Late-stage candidatesDNA vaccines for ANDV/SNV (Phase 1–2)INO-4500 (DNA), MeV-NP (live recombinant)
Major funderCEPI (limited)CEPI, BARDA
Why slowSmall market, episodic outbreaksSame; geographically concentrated
Trial endpointAntibody response (no licensure pathway via efficacy)Same
Geography for trialsPatagonia, US SouthwestNigeria, Sierra Leone
OutlookmRNA candidates accelerating post-2026 cruiseCEPI Lassa portfolio expanding

Why outbreak diseases of similar burden don't get vaccines

Both hantavirus and Lassa fever produce thousands of deaths annually but in geographically narrow, recurrent epidemics rather than pandemic spread. That makes Phase 3 efficacy trials operationally difficult — you cannot reliably enrol enough cases in a defined window. The pathway for licensure has therefore historically been antibody-based "animal rule" arguments rather than human efficacy data, which both regulators and funders treat cautiously.

What might change

mRNA platforms — proven by COVID-19 — accelerate the design-and-manufacture cycle dramatically. Both CEPI hantavirus and CEPI Lassa programmes have shifted weight toward mRNA candidates since 2024. The 2026 Atlantic hantavirus cruise outbreak, with its multi-country exposure footprint, may also unlock European regulatory pathways previously dormant.